By Charles Jay
Canelo Alvarez He is a consistent favorite for his Saturday Night Fights. Gennady Golovkin (GGG) That’s no secret. But there is some difference in terms of the odds that you can bet on either guy.
not at all Box InsiderAny individual sportsbook has an advertising or promotion policy, but we can note where the best, worst, and most unique are found.
We’ve done a little research, as we usually do in advance of big fights, and while the consensus is that you should drop 5-1 (-500) on Alvarez, you might find better value if you dig around. One of the “licensed” books, for example (and there aren’t that many) has it at -450, while at an offshore sportsbook we got -440. So if you really like cannelloni here, this is the price for you.
But do you like the low? GGG has a limited price range, the best of which is +430, which is on a licensed book. You can generally get anything between +350 and +395 on it. Such a number would be suitable if you do not think that you are too old to compete at this level.
The first two fights obviously had some controversy about them. Many people – at least most people – felt that GGG did more than enough to win the first fight, which ended in a draw. They could have argued either way in the second fight.
As for general rounds, there are sites where you can compete with any number of different round levels (of course different prices). For the purpose of this article, we will use 10.5 rounds as a base.
If you like this fight, you can place as low as -200 on “over” rounds at 10.5. Most of the places we looked at were -210 to -230. If you like “under,” you’re probably going to see +170 or +175 as your best odds.
There are also outright bets you can place on whether the race will go the full 12-lap distance. We didn’t do much research when it came to this, but one international sportsbook was offering -150 on the “yes” proposition. As for the “No” part, the most attractive price we saw was +130.
Do you want to shoot which round ends? And who will win in this case? If you want to do something like this, just for fun, you’ll want to put the fight at +8000 (80-1) on Canelo and +10000 (100-1) on GGG, for example. In the first round.
There are rounds and “groups”. Sometimes it’s two rounds, sometimes three or six. At one popular overseas book, you’ll find a payout of +650 for Canelo to win between one and six rounds, while Golovkin is +1400 for a win between seven and 12 rounds.
One of the best ways to play in a fight (although this story is for informational purposes only) is to choose the “correct score”. And this means not only choosing the winner, but also choosing the means by which the victory will be achieved. So let’s use an example for the Canelo-GGG fight:
Alvarez +110 by decision or technical decision
Alvarez by KO, TKO or DQ +170
Golovkin by decision or technical decision +600
Golovkin by KO, TKO or DQ +925
Draw or technical drawing +1400
At those prices, I’d go with Alvarez by decision.
Good luck tonight.